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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) | 48% (14338–15838, n=30176) | 40% (78–118, n=196) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M | $312K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #50 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #41 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (55 of 78 open) | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 51% (35 of 69 open) | 60% (3 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — | Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 50% of 197 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 19% (won 14% of 37) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 27% (won 44% of 54) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 30% (won 58% of 59) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 24% (won 77% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | UnderperformingForALiving |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-13.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $9.1K | Arizona $579 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $1.0K | Arizona $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $1.4K | Arizona $672 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | — | TCU $1.2K | Arizona $872 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $465 | Arizona $550 | — |
| Spread: Arizona (-8.5) same side · consensus Arizona | — | TCU $834 | TCU $1.5K | — |
| TCU vs. Arizona: O/U 43.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $355 | Over $1.4K | — |