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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (886–468, n=1354) | 87% (2306–341, n=2647) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $30K | $14.8M | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #143 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #23 + pinned | — |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 62% (36 of 58 open) | 65% (105 of 161 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 980 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 2% (won 95% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 32% (won 98% of 318) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 51% (won 98% of 504) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 14% (won 98% of 137) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe opposite sides · consensus Quentin Halys | — | Frances Tiafoe $4 | Quentin Halys $40K | — |
| Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $7 | Yes $2.9K | — |
| FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $9 | Over $930 | — |
| Luanda: Franziska Sziedat vs Martyna Kubka opposite sides · consensus Martyna Kubka | — | Franziska Sziedat $2 | Martyna Kubka $868 | — |
| FC Sion vs. FC Thun: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $5 | Over $747 | — |
| CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2 | Over $535 | — |
| Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $3 | Yes $458 | — |
| Will Lyn 1896 FK win on 2026-09-06? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3 | Yes $3 | — |
| Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $11 | No $5.6K | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $371 | No $2.5K | — |
| Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $29 | No $2.1K | — |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $379 | No $1.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $169 | Over $1.5K | — |
| Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $682 | Yes $964 | — |
| Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Gina Feistel same side · consensus Gina Feistel | — | Gina Feistel $9 | Gina Feistel $1.0K | — |
| Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $15 | Under $783 | — |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | — | No $1 | No $625 | — |
| Cercle Brugge vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4 | Over $136 | — |
| Will FK Mladá Boleslav win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus Yes | — | No $3 | No $104 | — |
| Birmingham City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1 | Under $57 | — |
| Will Mantova 1911 win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $50 | No $3 | — |
| Will SK Beveren win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus No | — | No $9 | No $20 | — |