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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
ndb1rayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (1014–591, n=1605)53% (2583–2302, n=4885)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$8.9K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #98was PM monthly #981PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (63 of 87 open)55% (60 of 110 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +42 pts n=962, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicNFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%98% of 1044 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 14% of 187)2% (won 96% of 25)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 39% of 269)32% (won 98% of 337)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 57% of 328)51% (won 98% of 533)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 94% of 622)14% (won 97% of 149)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketndb1rayvanmechelenRN1
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6.4KOver $3—
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $3Yes $5.1K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $570Yes $1.6K
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $5Under $905
VfL Osnabrück vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $6
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $34K—Under $2.6K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $10No $8.7K
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $984No $2.3K
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $966No $1.7K
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $69No $2.2K
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $690No $1.1K
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $9No $156
Manchester City WFC vs. West Ham United FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $9Under $10