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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3326, n=7862) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 53% (2494–2227, n=4721) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $4.8M | $13K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #97 | was PM monthly #981 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 66% (65 of 98 open) | 62% (55 of 89 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 2% (won 96% of 24) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 32% (won 98% of 333) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 51% (won 98% of 527) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 14% (won 97% of 147) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $143K | — | — | Taylor Fritz $2.1K |
| Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.8K | — | — | No $2.7K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | — | No $304 | — |
| Spread: Spurs (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | — | Spurs $329 | Kings $110 |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $347 | No $22K |
| Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova | — | — | Anastasia Zakharova $13 | Anastasia Zakharova $12K |
| Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | No $6.5K |
| Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $579 | No $5 |
| Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $18 | No $172 |
| Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1 | Under $169 |
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $7 | Under $81 |
| Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $33 | No $41 |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | — | Hornets $9 | Hornets $8 |