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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1rayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)63% (989–572, n=1561)53% (2456–2190, n=4646)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.2M$14K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #103was PM monthly #981PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)70% (62 of 88 open)61% (31 of 51 open)51% (18 of 35 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)13% (won 15% of 168)2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 39% of 256)32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)24% (won 58% of 314)51% (won 98% of 507)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)43% (won 93% of 550)14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1rayvanmechelenRN1
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $136K—Suns $10—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $307—
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K—Leolia Jeanjean $5—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Heat $3Warriors $109
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $4Over $18
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
——Bianca Andreescu $12Bianca Andreescu $5.8K
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.5K—East Texas A&M Lions $10—