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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 88% (2287–324, n=2611) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $4.1M | $32K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #12 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #22 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 56% (9 of 16 open) | 58% (59 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 981 at avg 56¢, ROI +45% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 2% (won 95% of 21) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 32% (won 98% of 318) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 52% (won 98% of 506) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 14% (won 98% of 136) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | ndb1 | rayvanmechelen | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $591 | Yes $962 |
| Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $10 | Over $431 |
| Will Wigan Athletic FC win on 2026-10-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $28 | No $225 |
| Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $10 | Yes $22 |
| Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $10 | Under $10 |
| Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | No $227 | No $2 |