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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | pagliacci4 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 96% (1655–74, n=1729) | 50% (1248–1261, n=2509) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.6M | $11K | $3.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #108 | was PM monthly #969 | PM monthly #46 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (76 of 102 open) | 95% (20 of 21 open) | 83% (10 of 12 open) | 65% (26 of 40 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 1675 at avg 92¢, ROI +5% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 0% (won 0% of 3) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 0% (won 0% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 4% (won 92% of 64) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 96% (won 98% of 1607) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | pagliacci4 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bears (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $18K | Bears $42K |
| Spread: Bears (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $30K | Bears $15K |
| Spread: Bears (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $4.3K | Bears $9.9K |
| Spread: Bears (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | — | — | Buccaneers $2.0K | Bears $2.3K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $47K | Bears $28K |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $30K | Buccaneers $17K |
| Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $22K | Over $13K |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $3.0K | Buccaneers $5.1K |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) same side · consensus Bears | — | — | Bears $3.6K | Bears $2.5K |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $96 | Buccaneers $5.0K |