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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
madmartigan5primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #895PM monthly #63PM monthly #37 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position79% (11 of 14 open)66% (114 of 173 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won88% of 50 at avg 38¢, ROI +52%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 80% of 15)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 86% of 22)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 100% of 12)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketmadmartigan5primmRN1
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
—Iowa State $1.8KBaylor $25K
Miami (FL) vs. Notre Dame
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Notre Dame $191KNotre Dame $25K
Georgia vs. Ole Miss
same side · consensus Georgia
—Georgia $14KGeorgia $5.5K
Spread: Michigan (-13.5)
same side · consensus Michigan State
—Michigan State $14KMichigan State $5
Spread: Notre Dame (-6.5)
same side · consensus Notre Dame
—Notre Dame $63Notre Dame $2.7K
Spread: Florida (-3.5)
same side · consensus Florida
—Oklahoma $34Oklahoma $24