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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| madmartigan5 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 64% (1097–630, n=1727) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 48% (18678–20261, n=38939) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #909 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #54 | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 72% (107 of 149 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 61% (28 of 46 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 88% of 50 at avg 38¢, ROI +52% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 30% (won 80% of 15) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 44% (won 86% of 22) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 100% of 12) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | madmartigan5 | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i vs. UTEP opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i | — | — | Hawai'i $7.0K | UTEP $4.6K |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | West Virginia $492 | Texas Tech $1.2K |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-15.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas Tech | — | — | West Virginia $138 | Texas Tech $461 |
| Wyoming vs. UNLV same side · consensus Wyoming | — | — | Wyoming $19K | Wyoming $16K |