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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1UnderperformingForALiving
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15489–15580, n=31069)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)40% (78–118, n=196)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$3.1M$14.8M$315K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #63PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #140
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (99 of 191 open)56% (101 of 179 open)25% (1 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +17 pts n=25, ROI −2%
  • NHL +12 pts n=18, ROI −1%
Weakest topic———Geopolitics −9 pts, n=48
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%51% of 190 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2593)19% (won 14% of 37)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5682)26% (won 44% of 50)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)35% (won 99% of 9181)29% (won 59% of 56)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8519)25% (won 77% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1UnderperformingForALiving
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $259Yes $28K—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $16KOver $7.4K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4No $20K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Marco Cecchinato
—Thiago Monteiro $26Marco Cecchinato $18K—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $18Under $14K—
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $176Yes $13K—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.1KOver $1.5K—
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $12No $6.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KOver $1.6K—
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Panathinaikós AO
—Panathinaikós AO $3.0KPFK CSKA Sofia $69—
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9Under $3.1K—
SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28Under $2.9K—
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $31No $1.3K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sport Lisboa e Benfica
—Sport Lisboa e Benfica $222KKS Lech Poznań $893—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $742Under $100—
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $80Under $636—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $250Under $80—
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36Under $271—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
—Olympique de Marseille $67Bayer 04 Leverkusen $63—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $90Yes $4—
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $11Yes $68—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $401No $28K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $41Yes $22K—
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $335No $20K—
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $218No $10K—
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $9.9K—
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $36No $4.6K—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.4KUnder $9—
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $36Yes $4.2K—
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
same side · consensus SK Iberia 1999
—SK Iberia 1999 $1.5KSK Iberia 1999 $1.3K—
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
same side · consensus Luciana Perry
—Sloane Stephens $6Sloane Stephens $2.6K—
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $65No $2.5K—
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
—Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.0KJoao Lucas Da Silva $1.5K—
Will OFI win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7Yes $1.9K—
Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 Beşiktaş JK?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $7Yes $881—
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova
same side · consensus Maria Sholokhova
—Maria Sholokhova $51Maria Sholokhova $769—
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $73No $743—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $418Over $384—
Will Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $8Yes $629—