← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | kinderSman | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 99% (416–6, n=422) | 50% (15059–15076, n=30135) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | $161K | $3.0M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #800 | PM monthly #57 | PM monthly #23 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (5 of 5 open) | 56% (91 of 162 open) | 66% (108 of 164 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Tech −2 pts, n=29 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 396 at avg 98¢, ROI +2% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 0% | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 99% (won 100% of 392) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | kinderSman | omnibus-076daa | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K |
| Will Buriram United win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $279 | Yes $964 |
| M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot opposite sides · consensus Henri Haupt | — | — | Alexandre Aubriot $698 | Henri Haupt $49 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $68 | No $663 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Daniil Medvedev opposite sides · consensus Daniil Medvedev | — | — | Daniil Medvedev $17 | Ignacio Buse $421 |
| M25 Valencia: Aren Baybars vs Leonid Sheyngezikht opposite sides · consensus Leonid Sheyngezikht | — | — | Aren Baybars $2 | Leonid Sheyngezikht $384 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Gaia Maduzzi opposite sides · consensus Lisa Pigato | — | — | Lisa Pigato $46 | Gaia Maduzzi $312 |
| M25 Heraklion: Jeremy Gschwendtner vs Michael Wright opposite sides · consensus Jeremy Gschwendtner | — | — | Michael Wright $3 | Jeremy Gschwendtner $175 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Frances Tiafoe same side · consensus Quentin Halys | — | — | Quentin Halys $12K | Quentin Halys $40K |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $11K | No $1.4K |
| Will Stjarnan Gardabae win on 2026-09-06? same side · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.2K | Yes $458 |
| W50 Heraklion: Deborah Chiesa vs Sarah Van Emst same side · consensus Deborah Chiesa | — | — | Deborah Chiesa $18 | Deborah Chiesa $1.2K |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $812 | Yes $5 | — |
| Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $427 | Under $119 |
| M25 Heraklion: Matias Reyniak vs Petros Tsitsipas same side · consensus Matias Reyniak | — | — | Petros Tsitsipas $12 | Petros Tsitsipas $322 |
| Buriram United leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $31 | Yes $58 |