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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677RN1tugatorUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)13% (32–224, n=256)50% (20827–20526, n=41353)
Consensus PnL$5.3M$14.8M$85K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #435PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (16 of 30 open)87% (82 of 94 open)67% (41 of 61 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——Crypto −34 pts, n=189—
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%27% of 227 at avg 56¢, ROI −28%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)4% (won 0% of 8)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)74% (won 10% of 167)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)5% (won 36% of 11)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)18% (won 100% of 41)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677RN1tugatorUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $360—Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.9K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5K—Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7K—Under $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7—No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—Athletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $36—Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $705—Yes $140
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $161—No $289
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—Athletic Club $345
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $61—No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $28—Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20—Over $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.5K—No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Under $945
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $44—Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3K—Under $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $42—Under $791