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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677MadridTimendb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)51% (797–781, n=1578)65% (889–469, n=1358)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL$5.6M-$13K$4.2M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #517PM monthly #140PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position49% (35 of 71 open)73% (33 of 45 open)61% (106 of 175 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677MadridTimendb1RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Tomas Machac $8.8K—Arthur Fils $11K
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Justin Boulais
opposite sides · consensus Marcos Giron
—Justin Boulais $1.1K—Marcos Giron $17K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $2.3K—Solana Sierra $476
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $427—Yes $1.3K
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $210—Yes $378
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5—Yes $104
Villa Maria: Lucio Ratti vs Carlos Maria Zarate
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Maria Zarate
—Carlos Maria Zarate $69—Lucio Ratti $18
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $32K—No $6.5K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $11K—No $148
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
same side · consensus Real Madrid CF
—AEK $5.0K—AEK $5.2K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $357—Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0K—No $3.3K
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.0K—No $553
CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.8K—Under $1.1K
Costa do Sauipe: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $444—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $2.3K
Cali: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $451—Bianca Andreescu $2.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
same side · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Eduardo Ribeiro $646—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $336—Under $1.4K
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $539—Yes $250
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $77—No $261
CA Paranaense vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $202—Under $3
Will CR Flamengo vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $24—Yes $47