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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026ndb1plustiRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)63% (1095–632, n=1727)55% (17–14, n=31)48% (17936–19365, n=37301)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.6M$11K$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #111was PM monthly #883PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (33 of 45 open)71% (70 of 98 open)33% (1 of 3 open)51% (37 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)13% (won 14% of 187)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)19% (won 39% of 269)27% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)23% (won 57% of 328)73% (won 100% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)44% (won 94% of 622)0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026ndb1plustiRN1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $9.8K——76ers $1.0K
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Patriots
Patriots $10K——Packers $489
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K——Over $1.7K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.0K——Under $1.0K
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Cardinals $351——Seahawks $1.3K
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Over $208
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Texans $7——Chargers $484
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Texans
Texans $50K——Texans $8.5K
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $10K——Over $252
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
Samir Banerjee $5.6K——Samir Banerjee $110
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $727—Bilibili Gaming $4.2K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $1.6K——Seahawks $2.4K
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $76——Seahawks $2.5K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula $1.1K——Jessica Pegula $538
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K——Over $360