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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677primmwhite-rabbit
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)53% (410–359, n=769)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M$3.6M$246K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #8PM monthly #47PM monthly #785
Sides with the consensus65% (41 of 63 open)no open consensus position67% (6 of 9 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%58% of 605 at avg 51¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)28% (won 5% of 167)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)17% (won 32% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)25% (won 86% of 153)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)30% (won 97% of 180)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677primmwhite-rabbit
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $87K—Cardinals $5.5K—
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Seahawks $2.8K—Cardinals $2.1K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
Chargers $2—Texans $2.7K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $2.2K—Cardinals $85—
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $149—Cardinals $737—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
Packers $89K—Packers $87K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
same side · consensus Texans
Texans $68K—Texans $11K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $3.6K——Bilibili Gaming $1.2K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $2.2K——Bilibili Gaming $2.0K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $5——Bilibili Gaming $4.0K