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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.3M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #7PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus53% (17 of 32 open)no open consensus position67% (36 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $7.6K—Over $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $295—Buccaneers $2.4K
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $540—Bears $416
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91K—Coco Gauff $58K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
Keisuke Saitoh $6.6K—Keisuke Saitoh $25K
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $19K—Heat $1.7K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9.9K—Over $256
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.1K—Under $5.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360