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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)35% (3649–6670, n=10319)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$2.9M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3was PM monthly #870PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (24 of 28 open)65% (20 of 31 open)no open consensus position58% (94 of 162 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)—12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)—6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)—65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)—18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3.7K—Over $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.3K—Over $1.5K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.0K—Over $2
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.3K—Under $81
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $324—Under $592
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
same side · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
—Dalibor Svrcina $19K—Dalibor Svrcina $1.8K
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
—Ferencvárosi TC $9.6K—Ferencvárosi TC $3.0K
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)
same side · consensus AC Sparta Praha
—AC Sparta Praha $8.2K—AC Sparta Praha $726
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Max Hans Rehberg $2.1K—Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
—Carole Monnet $4.8K—Carole Monnet $1.7K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Renata Zarazua $5.2K—Renata Zarazua $482
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.2K—Over $360
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $760—Under $14
Aarhus GF vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $710—Under $18