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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | HBAFlover98 | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 39% (243–373, n=616) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 48% (17938–19366, n=37304) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8M | -$250K | $4.6M | $14.9M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | was PM monthly #838 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #31 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (16 of 32 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (75 of 101 open) | 64% (36 of 56 open) |
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| Weakest topic | — | Esports −9 pts, n=99 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 39% of 550 at avg 39¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 30% (won 14% of 164) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 41% (won 42% of 227) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 21% (won 59% of 118) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 7% (won 71% of 41) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | HBAFlover98 | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $23K | — | — | Clippers $1.8K |
| Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson opposite sides · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann | Chase Ferguson $171 | — | — | Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K |
| Spread: Bears (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $295 | — | — | Buccaneers $4.8K |
| Spread: Bears (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $2 | — | — | Buccaneers $4.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Over $1.7K |
| Spread: Bears (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Bears | Buccaneers $1.1K | — | — | Bears $362 |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $91K | — | — | Coco Gauff $58K |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj $65K | — | — | Patrick Zahraj $5.8K |
| Spread: Bears (-13.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $28K | — | — | Buccaneers $17K |
| Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh | Keisuke Saitoh $4.1K | — | — | Keisuke Saitoh $24K |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Bears $8.1K | — | — | Bears $10K |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $4.5K | — | — | Kings $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $1.3K | — | — | Over $360 |