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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1testest10
Record (consensus markets)44% (11392–14477, n=25869)52% (7711–7000, n=14711)63% (1095–632, n=1727)39% (7–11, n=18)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M$17K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #111PM monthly #476
Sides with the consensus66% (41 of 62 open)71% (106 of 149 open)72% (72 of 100 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1testest10
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $870——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $28KOver $390——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $11K76ers $1.0K——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $145Over $7.9K——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $7.6KUnder $344——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $144Over $3.5K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $65KLinda Noskova $10K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.0KOver $985——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $113Under $297——