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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | peasant | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (11396–14488, n=25884) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 57% (165–122, n=287) |
| Consensus PnL | -$8.8M | $4.1M | $4.6M | $136K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #16 | PM monthly #108 | PM monthly #521 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (16 of 29 open) | 73% (81 of 111 open) | 74% (73 of 99 open) | 57% (4 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Politics −5 pts, n=51 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 58% of 273 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 21% (won 11% of 57) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 16% (won 38% of 45) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 23% (won 62% of 63) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 40% (won 89% of 108) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ferrariChampions2026 | Flaznorp | ndb1 | peasant |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penguins vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Ducks | Ducks $34K | Penguins $14 | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Pelicans | Pelicans $23K | Clippers $794 | — | — |
| Spread: Heat (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Kings $4.5K | Heat $2.4K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | No $148 | Yes $2.7K | — | — |
| WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula same side · consensus Coco Gauff | Coco Gauff $91K | Coco Gauff $17K | — | — |
| Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj | Patrick Zahraj $65K | Patrick Zahraj $5.9K | — | — |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $20K | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | Under $13K | — | — |