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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)43% (11756–15327, n=27083)56% (13275–10642, n=23917)64% (1102–633, n=1735)83% (2421–482, n=2903)
Consensus PnL-$9.4M$1.4M$4.6M$95K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #14PM monthly #109was PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus71% (5 of 7 open)72% (91 of 126 open)73% (71 of 97 open)79% (84 of 106 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1Robbb
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $24KYes $635
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $15Yes $665
Will Jaylen Waddle have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $510Yes $124
Will David Bailey win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $7Yes $211
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
——No $350KNo $470
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $12KYes $1.0K
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
same side · consensus Liam Broady
Liam Broady $7.4KLiam Broady $819——
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.0KNo $20
Will Will Anderson Jr. win the 2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $44Yes $696
Will Jeremiyah Love win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
——No $473No $241
Will Jaxson Dart have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
——No $443No $261
Will Jalen Hurts have 399.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
same side · consensus No
——No $496No $158
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $505Yes $32
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $11Yes $503
Will Arvell Reese win the 2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus No
——No $290No $119
Will Ohio State Buckeyes Win the 2026 Big Ten Championship?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $6Yes $2