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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | MurkSniper | nigiri99 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (13–11, n=24) | 71% (2024–808, n=2832) | 72% (31–12, n=43) | 55% (372–304, n=676) |
| Consensus PnL | $590K | $386K | $6.2K | $436K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #988 | PM monthly #89 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 66% (99 of 151 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 51% (37 of 73 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=381 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 13 at avg 47¢, ROI +54% | 44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1% | — | 66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 6% of 362) | — | 14% (won 33% of 73) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 54% (won 100% of 7) | 21% (won 43% of 192) | — | 24% (won 56% of 125) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 31% (won 100% of 4) | 11% (won 64% of 103) | — | 43% (won 69% of 226) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 8% (won 100% of 1) | 27% (won 95% of 239) | — | 18% (won 98% of 96) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | fantasy7788 | Flaznorp | MurkSniper | nigiri99 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Southern vs. Georgia State opposite sides · consensus Georgia Southern | — | Georgia State $6 | — | Georgia Southern $2.7K |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $1.7K | — | Yes $364 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $442 | — | Yes $1.3K |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $915 | — | Yes $365 |
| Brisbane 3: Juncheng Shang vs Christian Langmo opposite sides · consensus Christian Langmo | — | — | Juncheng Shang $592 | Christian Langmo $40 |
| Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $117 | — | Under $73 |
| Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $80 | — | Over $11 |
| Houston vs. Colorado same side · consensus Colorado | — | Colorado $50 | — | Colorado $2.5K |
| Pistons vs. Heat same side · consensus Heat | — | Heat $383 | — | Heat $46 |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | — | Colts $3 |