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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardPuckaBegemota
Record (consensus markets)59% (16–11, n=27)71% (2092–854, n=2946)54% (448–384, n=832)77% (10–3, n=13)
Consensus PnL$670K$387K$332K$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #33PM monthly #13PM monthly #9PM monthly #836
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)51% (144 of 280 open)68% (90 of 132 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 212 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%—
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)1% (won 100% of 2)—
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)32% (won 100% of 68)—
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)11% (won 64% of 103)60% (won 100% of 127)—
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)7% (won 100% of 15)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788FlaznorpHomeRunHazardPuckaBegemota
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
Team Falcons $9.2KFURIA $67——
Tulane Green Wave vs. Akron Zips: O/U 155.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $13Under $946—
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356Miami (FL) $48—
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $79Over $3—
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $58Grizzlies $24—
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
same side · consensus Nuggets
—Pelicans $6.2KPelicans $8.1K—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $296Vikings $6.5K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $399Heat $1.1K—
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Falcons $1.2K—
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Oklahoma State
—Texas Tech $26Texas Tech $1.2K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
Northwestern vs. Ohio State
same side · consensus Ohio State
—Northwestern $31Northwestern $959—