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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
biying88888joseph00677primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (211–156, n=367)43% (10–13, n=23)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL-$5.7K$3.3M$3.6M$14.9M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #997PM monthly #8PM monthly #46PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (8 of 14 open)no open consensus position60% (3 of 5 open)57% (35 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 112 at avg 49¢, ROI +49%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢54% (won 100% of 61)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 100% of 50)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up1% (won 100% of 1)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbiying88888joseph00677primmRN1
Buccaneers vs. Bears
opposite sides · consensus Bears
——Buccaneers $1.3KBears $12K
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $1.6K—Buccaneers $5.4K—
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $2.7K——Celtics $116
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $57——Over $2.8K
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $198——Buccaneers $2.4K
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $633——Over $1.8K
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
——Bears $7.2KBears $27K
Celtics vs. Bucks
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $563——Celtics $33K
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.2K—Over $9.2K—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Kings $311——Kings $2.8K