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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)48% (217–237, n=454)47% (14348–15981, n=30329)
Consensus PnL$6.1M-$67K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #14PM monthly #18 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)66% (19 of 29 open)61% (83 of 136 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 178 at avg 52¢, ROI +50%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)47% (won 100% of 83)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)46% (won 100% of 82)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)7% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Multicoloured-SerfRN1
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Villarreal CF
—Villarreal CF $40KParis Saint-Germain FC $5.6K
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.8KOver $666
FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KOver $41
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $35Under $123
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $78Yes $35
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $52Under $13
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $7.8KNo $13K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)
same side · consensus Aston Villa FC
—Aston Villa FC $4.8KAston Villa FC $3.2K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
same side · consensus FC Barcelona
—Aston Villa FC $6.8KAston Villa FC $20
Villarreal CF vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $4.8KUnder $46
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $2.2K
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0KNo $1.3K
Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $566Under $1
Preston North End FC vs. Sheffield United FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $321Under $1