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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | Multicoloured-Serf | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 67% (43–21, n=64) | 48% (217–237, n=454) | 47% (14377–16003, n=30380) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $6.1M | -$64K | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #22 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 44% (11 of 25 open) | 63% (60 of 96 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 178 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 47% (won 100% of 83) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 46% (won 100% of 82) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 7% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | Multicoloured-Serf | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jets vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $60K | Canadiens $3.1K | — |
| Oilers vs. Devils: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $12 | Over $1.3K | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-13.5) same side · consensus Ohio | — | Akron $28K | Akron $563 | — |
| Utah vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Maple Leafs | — | Utah $9.7K | Utah $678 | — |
| Utah vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $8.9K | Under $204 | — |
| Oilers vs. Devils same side · consensus Devils | — | Devils $4.6K | Devils $805 | — |
| Hurricanes vs. Predators same side · consensus Hurricanes | — | Predators $3.9K | Predators $506 | — |
| Spread: Ohio (-6.5) same side · consensus Akron | — | Ohio $70 | Ohio $2.4K | — |
| Stars vs. Capitals same side · consensus Stars | — | Stars $511 | Stars $118 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $17 | Under $353 | — |