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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankMulticoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–665, n=1225)47% (233–259, n=492)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M-$316K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #14PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position48% (10 of 21 open)53% (8 of 15 open)65% (103 of 159 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 81% of 57)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 201)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 99% of 196)47% (won 100% of 101)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 100% of 109)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankMulticoloured-SerfRN1
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $15K76ers $243
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hawks
——Hawks $13KHawks $386
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $56Under $124