← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Multicoloured-Serf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 47% (233–259, n=492) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | -$316K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 53% (8 of 15 open) | 65% (103 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | Multicoloured-Serf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | — | 76ers $15K | 76ers $243 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | — | Hawks $13K | Hawks $386 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $56 | Under $124 |