Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1
Record (consensus markets)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)52% (641–596, n=1237)47% (14377–16003, n=30380)
Consensus PnL$6.1M$11.0M$18K$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #789PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)53% (60 of 113 open)57% (43 of 75 open)53% (37 of 70 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
Weakest topicNBA −6 pts, n=93———
Settled positions, side won57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 81% of 57)5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2606)
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 201)17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)
Entries 50–70¢54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 196)23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9185)
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 109)55% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 100% of 8345)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankMadridTimeRN1
Charlottesville: Harry Wendelken vs Andres Andrade
opposite sides · consensus Andres Andrade
——Andres Andrade $1.6KHarry Wendelken $14K
Costa do Sauipe: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
——Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo $4.7KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $8.8K
Ohio vs. Akron
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
——Akron $73Ohio $2.5K
Will AD Pasto vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $47No $2.4K
Costa do Sauipe: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
opposite sides · consensus Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
——Igor Ribeiro Marcondes $486Luis Felipe Miguel $1.3K
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Ivan Dreycopp
opposite sides · consensus Federico Coria
——Federico Coria $409Ivan Dreycopp $1.3K
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $304Yes $80
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $4No $130
SC Internacional vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $9Over $44
Coritiba FBC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $12Yes $3
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $9Yes $4
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
same side · consensus Facundo Acosta
——Facundo Acosta $2.0KFacundo Acosta $37K
Jets vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Jets
——Jets $2.7KJets $393
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $683Under $1.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Marco Cecchinato vs Francisco Comesana
same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato
——Marco Cecchinato $1.6KMarco Cecchinato $217
Will Jaguares de Córdoba FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $215No $1.4K
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $660No $513
Utah vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $112Under $204
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $180Under $13
Sportivo San Lorenzo leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $1No $139
Jaguares de Córdoba FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $78No $40
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $17No $46
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $27Under $12
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $5Under $7