Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Lautaro Midon — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Lautaro Midon
Costa do Sauipe: Lucas Da Silva vs Lautaro Midon
Resolved Lautaro Midon. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Lautaro Midon. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
17
Lautaro Midon 53%
2 arb excluded
$6.7K
-$480.39
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Lautaro Midonavg 66.8¢ | $2.9K | $4.3K | +$1.4K | 53% 59089-51396 (110485) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Lucas Da Silvaavg 34.4¢ | $1.9K | — | $-1.9K | 52% 847-783 (1630) |
CA CandleHammerDrums | Lautaro Midonavg 67¢ | $549.09 | $819.53 | +$270.44 | 52% 6722-6264 (12986) |
FL Flaznorp | Lautaro Midonavg 69¢ | $403.63 | $584.98 | +$181.34 | 51% 23440-22208 (45648) |
LI LimousinCTR | Lucas Da Silvaavg 34.1¢ | $402.44 | — | -$402.44 | 56% 959-749 (1708) |
38 38791873984189 | Lautaro Midonavg 68.1¢ | $257.41 | $266.72 | +$111.16 | 48% 14412-15920 (30332) |
0X 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816CTR | Lucas Da Silvaavg 32¢ | $288.42 | — | -$288.42 | 50% 513-509 (1022) |
TH thestingsnake | Lautaro Midonavg 75.3¢ | $237.94 | $280 | +$64.59 | 60% 4234-2832 (7066) |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Lautaro Midonavg 69.4¢ | $242.53 | $193.89 | +$29.86 | 52% 705-645 (1350) |
| └ Lautaro Midon leg | Lautaro Midonavg 69.4¢ | $134.55 | $193.89 | +$69.77 | |
| └ Lucas Da Silva leg | Lucas Da Silvaavg 24.8¢ | $50.12 | — | -$39.92 | |
VE VenusianARB<$100 | Lucas Da Silvaavg 36.2¢ | $170.51 | $66 | -$104.51 | 53% 928-828 (1756) |
| └ Lucas Da Silva leg | Lucas Da Silvaavg 36.2¢ | $124.92 | — | -$124.92 | |
| └ Lautaro Midon leg | Lautaro Midonavg 69.1¢ | $45.6 | $66 | +$20.4 | |
 VeryLucky888 | Lautaro Midonavg 69¢ | $93.15 | $132.06 | +$40.91 | 58% 44668-32527 (77195) |
 TRCMCTR<$100 | Lucas Da Silvaavg 23.9¢ | $31.67 | — | -$31.67 | 55% 4006-3232 (7238) |
EU Eulhunter<$100 | Lautaro Midonavg 62¢ | $28.75 | $34.76 | +$6 | 54% 6063-5072 (11135) |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Lautaro Midonavg 73.8¢ | $12.74 | $17.27 | +$4.53 | 57% 18992-14056 (33048) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Lucas Da Silvaavg 28¢ | $5.6 | — | -$5.6 | 53% 921-802 (1723) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Lucas Da Silvaavg 33¢ | $4.95 | — | -$4.95 | 65% 5090-2761 (7851) |
 tradecraftCTR<$100 | Lucas Da Silvaavg 34.1¢ | $4.43 | — | -$4.43 | 51% 6228-5972 (12200) |
OM omnibus-076daa<$100 | Lautaro Midonavg 74¢ | $3.7 | $5 | +$1.2 | 50% 20222-20549 (40771) |
SC SchruteBucksCTR<$100 | Lucas Da Silvaavg 29¢ | $26.11 | — | +$3.82 | 56% 1909-1473 (3382) |
RN1Invested
$2,889.47
Value
$4.3K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
53%
59089-51396 (110485)
Invested
$1,865.47
Value
—
PnL
$-1.9K
Record
52%
847-783 (1630)
Invested
$549.09
Value
$819.53
PnL
+$270.44
Record
52%
6722-6264 (12986)
Invested
$403.63
Value
$584.98
PnL
+$181.34
Record
51%
23440-22208 (45648)
Invested
$402.44
Value
—
PnL
-$402.44
Record
56%
959-749 (1708)
Invested
$257.41
Value
$266.72
PnL
+$111.16
Record
48%
14412-15920 (30332)
Invested
$288.42
Value
—
PnL
-$288.42
Record
50%
513-509 (1022)
Invested
$237.94
Value
$280
PnL
+$64.59
Record
60%
4234-2832 (7066)
Invested
$242.53
Value
$193.89
PnL
+$29.86
Record
52%
705-645 (1350)
Both legs:
Invested
$170.51
Value
$66
PnL
-$104.51
Record
53%
928-828 (1756)
Both legs:
VeryLucky888Invested
$93.15
Value
$132.06
PnL
+$40.91
Record
58%
44668-32527 (77195)
TRCMCTR<$100Invested
$31.67
Value
—
PnL
-$31.67
Record
55%
4006-3232 (7238)
Invested
$28.75
Value
$34.76
PnL
+$6
Record
54%
6063-5072 (11135)
Invested
$12.74
Value
$17.27
PnL
+$4.53
Record
57%
18992-14056 (33048)
Invested
$5.6
Value
—
PnL
-$5.6
Record
53%
921-802 (1723)
Invested
$4.95
Value
—
PnL
-$4.95
Record
65%
5090-2761 (7851)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$4.43
Value
—
PnL
-$4.43
Record
51%
6228-5972 (12200)
Invested
$3.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.2
Record
50%
20222-20549 (40771)
Invested
$26.11
Value
—
PnL
+$3.82
Record
56%
1909-1473 (3382)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Lautaro Midon — $4.3K
MadridTime
CTRLucas Da Silva — $0
CandleHammerDrums
Lautaro Midon — $819.53
Flaznorp
Lautaro Midon — $584.98
Limousin
CTRLucas Da Silva — $0
38791873984189
Lautaro Midon — $266.72
0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
CTRLucas Da Silva — $0
thestingsnake
Lautaro Midon — $280
1lovejump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Venusian
ARBArbitrage — excluded