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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4MadridTimeRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (725–703, n=1428)47% (12761–14165, n=26926)no settled market
Consensus PnL—-$17K$14.8M—
Tracked as—was PM monthly #789PM monthly #23 + pinned—
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position60% (50 of 83 open)63% (59 of 93 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=72, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=258, ROI +23%
  • Tennis +20 pts n=18, ROI +25%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 367 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 100% of 20)10% (won 57% of 2606)—
Entries 30–50¢—17% (won 100% of 63)22% (won 94% of 5665)—
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 100% of 83)36% (won 99% of 9185)—
Entries 70¢ and up—55% (won 100% of 201)32% (won 100% of 8345)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4MadridTimeRN1sainttroplay
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Chun-Hsin Tseng
opposite sides · consensus Chun-Hsin Tseng
—Carl Overbeck $5.1KChun-Hsin Tseng $27K—
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8Over $26K—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $83No $20K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alina Charaeva
opposite sides · consensus Alina Charaeva
—Alina Charaeva $256Antonia Ruzic $5.0K—
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $3Over $4.0K—
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5KYes $947—
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $17Over $1.5K—
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 AS Roma?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73No $1.4K—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $364Under $787—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 0 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $30No $845—
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $706Over $46—
Will Watford FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $88Yes $381—
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Aston Villa FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $9No $431—
Will Luton Town FC win on 2026-09-26?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $13Yes $427—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $15Under $320—
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $239Over $1—
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-11-03?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $177Yes $24—
Exact Score: IK Sirius 0 - 0 Halmstads BK?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3No $134—
Will Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $42No $86—
Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $48Over $10—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $10No $7—
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $9Yes $5—
Taipei: Yaroslav Demin vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
—Alexandre Muller $7.7KAlexandre Muller $1.6K—
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3KNo $1.8K—
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $79No $2.7K—
Al Hilal SFC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $445Under $896—
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $29No $918—
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $463No $160—
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $151No $420—
Huddersfield Town AFC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $25Over $431—
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $166No $218—
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $182Under $12—
IK Sirius vs. Halmstads BK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $35Under $58—
Portsmouth FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $18Under $41—
Wigan Athletic FC vs. Mansfield Town FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9Under $37—
Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32Under $10—
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $32Under $8—
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-11-03?
same side · consensus No
—No $6No $28—
Watford FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $7Under $10—