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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4End123FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (275–146, n=421)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL—-$18K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #790PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)66% (225 of 342 open)58% (143 of 246 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −18 pts, n=18Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—14% (won 11% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—10% (won 42% of 43)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—31% (won 63% of 132)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—45% (won 86% of 190)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4End123FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.5K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $60Central Michigan $12K
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Bucks $4.1KCeltics $485
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.4KOver $2.4K
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.6KUnder $230
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $301No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $35
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $2.2KCeltics $3
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Nets $2.1KHornets $40
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $1.3KBucks $765
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $274Under $1.7K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
——Celtics $1.7KBucks $57
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $799Under $830
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $23
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Bulls $1.4KKnicks $158
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KOver $138
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.4KOver $57
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
——Senators $56Sabres $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.0KOver $12
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $988Bulls $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $486No $529
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Nets $749Hornets $125
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $680Under $87
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $752Under $8
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Grizzlies $457Pacers $180
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $102Over $535
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $555Bulls $16
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $464Under $106
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $330Over $235
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
——Pacers $362Grizzlies $123
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $414Over $46
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
——Cavaliers $179Thunder $270
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $429Over $6
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $319Pistons $49
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
——Nuggets $200Raptors $130
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6Over $278
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
——Suns $124Trail Blazers $99
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $48Under $169
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $128Over $85
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $100Over $2
Spread: Pistons (-21.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
——76ers $32Pistons $63
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $32Under $13
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $5.4K76ers $370
Spread: Celtics (-30.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
——Bucks $3.5KBucks $15
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.8KOver $27
Senators vs. Sabres
same side · consensus Sabres
——Sabres $1.0KSabres $1.2K
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
——76ers $1.8K76ers $220
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
——Knicks $1.0KKnicks $675
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 186.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.5KOver $71