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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| alfabetica | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 72% (13–5, n=18) | 45% (572–710, n=1282) | 52% (6509–6024, n=12533) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $44K | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #578 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (4 of 4 open) | 85% (28 of 33 open) | 68% (131 of 192 open) | 52% (33 of 63 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 93% of 14 at avg 67¢, ROI +24% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 43% (won 83% of 6) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 100% of 6) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
20 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | alfabetica | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars vs. Ravens opposite sides · consensus Jaguars | — | Ravens $298K | — | Jaguars $4.0K |
| Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter opposite sides · consensus James Kent Trotter | — | — | Andres Andrade $4.7K | James Kent Trotter $10K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| EC Bahia leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | Yes $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.3K | Over $812 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $2.8K | — | Jaguars $151 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $1.4K | — | Jaguars $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.3K | Yes $118 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | — | — | Diletta Cherubini $279 | Ipek Oz $678 |
| Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $27 | Under $564 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $81 | Warriors $500 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | — | Heat $444 | Warriors $107 |
| Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $131 | Yes $28 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Franco Roncadelli same side · consensus Thiago Seyboth Wild | — | — | Thiago Seyboth Wild $2.6K | Thiago Seyboth Wild $20K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $9.6K | Over $1.1K |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $4.8K | No $2.9K |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.3K | Over $1.2K |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $248 | No $2.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.2K | Under $322 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | — | — | Canucks $22 | Canucks $1.2K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $287 | — | Ravens $688 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $676 | No $138 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| Canucks vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | — | — | Canucks $52 | Canucks $354 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $139 | Yes $192 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $8 | Under $313 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Warriors $174 | Warriors $97 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |
| Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Over $14 | Over $42 |
| Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $29 | Under $11 |