PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ZptmlRN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market48% (11712–12496, n=24208)69% (43–19, n=62)50% (13213–13355, n=26568)
Consensus PnL—$13.4M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #116Hand-pickedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensus60% (6 of 10 open)47% (18 of 38 open)100% (2 of 2 open)53% (18 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=91—
Settled positions, side won—94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%91% of 10074 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 56% of 2460)3% (won 17% of 6)8% (won 58% of 836)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 94% of 5335)29% (won 56% of 62)21% (won 85% of 2140)
Entries 50–70¢—36% (won 99% of 8653)54% (won 52% of 114)38% (won 94% of 3856)
Entries 70¢ and up—31% (won 100% of 7361)14% (won 86% of 29)32% (won 99% of 3242)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketZptmlRN1beachboy4omnibus-076daa
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $14K—TYLOO $4
Sioux Falls: Aidan Mayo vs Hynek Barton
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Hynek Barton $6.7K—Aidan Mayo $191
Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce
opposite sides · consensus Alexander Zverev
—Martin Landaluce $263—Alexander Zverev $5.8K
Curitiba: Justina Gonzalez vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Solana Sierra
—Justina Gonzalez $148—Solana Sierra $235
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Adrian Mannarino
—Adrian Mannarino $29K—Adrian Mannarino $9.1K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
same side · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $19K—FURIA $105
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs
same side · consensus fnatic
—Astralis $5.0K—Astralis $2.2K
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-10-27?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $3.1K—Yes $94
Will Al Hilal SFC win on 2026-10-27?
same side · consensus No
—No $596—No $825
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus fnatic
—Astralis $1.3K—Astralis $28
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus FURIA
—FURIA $611—FURIA $252