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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MitchieboiprimmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)83% (5–1, n=6)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$1.5K$3.6M$14.9M$3.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #840PM monthly #47PM monthly #25 + pinnedPM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position62% (8 of 13 open)54% (40 of 74 open)60% (3 of 5 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won83% of 6 at avg 63¢, ROI +4%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 1)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 100% of 1)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMitchieboiprimmRN1S-Works
Raiders vs. 49ers
opposite sides · consensus 49ers
—49ers $90KRaiders $10—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $3.4K—
Spread: Texans (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Texans $11KChargers $3.6K—
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $2.1KSeahawks $9.6K—
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $5.5KSeahawks $3.8K—
Spread: Seahawks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $737Seahawks $6.8K—
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Cardinals $85Seahawks $4.1K—
Packers vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $57Over $2.4K—
Packers vs. Patriots
same side · consensus Packers
—Packers $87KPackers $4.3K—
Texans vs. Chargers
same side · consensus Texans
—Texans $1.7KTexans $11K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Texans
—Texans $2.7KTexans $7.1K—