Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1testest10
Record (consensus markets)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)39% (7–11, n=18)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$3.6M$14.8M$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #427
Sides with the consensus80% (262 of 328 open)no open consensus position67% (108 of 162 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 8 at avg 67¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)25% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)63% (won 100% of 5)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

88 on the same side, 44 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1testest10
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $38K—No $4.4K—
Will Ararat-Armenia FA win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $17K—No $14K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K—
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10K—Yes $223—
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille $9.6K—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $352—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4.6K—No $5.0K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $2.8K—Under $5.9K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.7K—Over $4—
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $7.4K—Yes $592—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $7.8K—No $135—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $4.5K—
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.4K—Yes $6—
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.2K—No $2.5K—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $4.1K—Under $81—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586—Over $3.3K—
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.0K—Yes $743—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $491—Over $2.9K—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7K—Under $414—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K—Under $57—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K—Yes $994—
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.7K—Yes $16—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
SC União Torreense $231—Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K—
Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 Beşiktaş JK?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K—Yes $464—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $637—Yes $1.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K—Yes $63—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $32—
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $821—Under $278—
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $835—Over $185—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $588—Over $336—
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $600—No $300—
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $809—Over $54—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $118—Yes $594—
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $677—Over $1—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $440—Warriors $143—
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $433—Over $10—
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
Juventus FC $49—AZ $89—
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $47—Yes $27—
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $25—Under $3—
Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 0 Olympique de Marseille?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $8—
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $99K—No $18K—
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $58K—Yes $42K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $64K—No $28K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $67K—Yes $21K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $62K—No $20K—
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $38K—Yes $28K—