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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1Sickasulu
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)63% (119–71, n=190)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$14.8M-$54K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus69% (234 of 340 open)68% (17 of 25 open)60% (143 of 238 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%63% of 221 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)8% (won 24% of 17)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)20% (won 48% of 44)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)57% (won 67% of 126)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)15% (won 91% of 34)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

59 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1Sickasulu
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $343Eastern Michigan $2.4KCentral Michigan $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $11K—Over $462—
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $8.7KCentral Michigan $851—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.8K—Over $496—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.4KUMass $1.1K—
Will Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $437—No $2.6K—
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Thunder $2.5K—Cavaliers $523—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.8K—Yes $9—
Spread: Ball State (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus UMass
—UMass $1.6KBall State $191—
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.2KOver $534—
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K—No $124—
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $159—
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $793UMass $804—
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.4K—Knicks $149—
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $589Sacramento State $794—
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0KUnder $228—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1K—Over $100—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $992—Bulls $64—
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Over $10—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $480UMass $457—
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $646—Under $140—
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $754—Under $12—
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $739—Under $6—
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $679—Bulls $11—
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $93—Over $535—
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $309—Over $255—
Hawks vs. Wizards: O/U 244.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $472—Over $73—
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $437Sacramento State $75—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $468—Over $44—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $396—Under $106—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $350—Grizzlies $118—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $117—Thunder $308—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $245—Pacers $155—
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $208—Over $90—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Lakers $27—Kings $253—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $191Over $54—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $98—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $123—Over $86—
Spread: UMass (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—UMass $18Ball State $190—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
Trail Blazers $22—Suns $155—
Millonarios FC vs. América de Cali: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $147—Under $2—
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $31—Under $79—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $99—Over $2—
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $51—Hornets $35—