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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1Tan4321
Record (consensus markets)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)63% (987–572, n=1559)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)100% (3–0, n=3)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.2M$14.8M$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #103PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #974
Sides with the consensus72% (166 of 230 open)75% (100 of 134 open)50% (15 of 30 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 97¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)0%
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)0%
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)100% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1Tan4321
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $754—Yes $375—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $831—Yes $61—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14—Under $181—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Zeynep Sonmez
same side · consensus Zeynep Sonmez
Zeynep Sonmez $36K—Zeynep Sonmez $94K—
Luanda: Anna Blinkova vs Zongyu Li
same side · consensus Anna Blinkova
Anna Blinkova $6.9K—Anna Blinkova $42K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Luanda: Kristina Kroitor vs Ksenia Zaytseva
same side · consensus Ksenia Zaytseva
Ksenia Zaytseva $2.8K—Ksenia Zaytseva $5.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116—Yes $161—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42—
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
Melios Efstathiou $103—Melios Efstathiou $31—