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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpKaczkaprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)52% (435–409, n=844)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$13K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22was PM monthly #997PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus78% (215 of 277 open)50% (6 of 12 open)no open consensus position65% (98 of 151 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +28 pts n=426, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +26 pts n=83, ROI +17%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%84% of 559 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)4% (won 68% of 25)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 72% of 125)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)62% (won 88% of 347)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)11% (won 92% of 62)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

62 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpKaczkaprimmRN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $36KYes $8—No $18K
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $25KYes $285—Yes $13K
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $2.5KKimmer Coppejans $244—Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $7.6K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille $8.1KBayer 04 Leverkusen $24—Bayer 04 Leverkusen $10
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11KYes $11——
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $8.7K——Over $4
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.4K——Yes $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Over $4.5K
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.9K——Yes $69
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.9K——No $2.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $506——Over $2.9K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7K——Under $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K——Under $57
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9K——Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
SC União Torreense $229——Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.2K——Yes $243
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K——Under $17
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $63
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $32
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $600——No $300
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $636——Over $185
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $440——Warriors $143
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $432——Over $4
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $94——Yes $186
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $159——Over $10
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus AZ
Juventus FC $49——AZ $89
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
Anna Siskova $60——Isis Louise Van den Broek $72
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $90——Over $33
Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $17——No $46
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. OFI: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $25——Under $3
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $51K——No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $50K——No $20K
Will SC União Torreense win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $35K——Yes $28K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $24K——No $4.0K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $10K——Under $17K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $2.9K——Filip Misolic $18K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.6K——Under $11K
Will FC København win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9.5K——Yes $4.1K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.4K——Under $6.9K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.2K——Under $8.6K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $7.2K——Under $3.1K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $3.4K——Bianca Andreescu $5.8K