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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJesetradingprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)74% (628–218, n=846)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$8.3K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #921PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (170 of 236 open)59% (10 of 17 open)no open consensus position61% (33 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%74% of 441 at avg 68¢, ROI +5%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)21% (won 15% of 92)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)8% (won 44% of 34)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)7% (won 87% of 31)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)64% (won 95% of 284)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

22 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJesetradingprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $4.1K——No $1.4K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud $2.6K——Jan-Lennard Struff $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens
Sloane Stephens $361——Luciana Perry $204
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $60——Ivan Gakhov $238
W35 Orlando, FL: Jana Hossam Salah vs Briana Szabo
opposite sides · consensus Briana Szabo
Briana Szabo $50——Jana Hossam Salah $194
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $108——Warriors $130
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
Anna Siskova $59——Isis Louise Van den Broek $88
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
Elmer Moeller $18——Joao Lucas Da Silva $32
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $29
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44K——No $19K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $33K——No $27K
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
same side · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
Sport Lisboa e Benfica $16K——Sport Lisboa e Benfica $19K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $19K——Yes $12K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.4K——Under $8.8K
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic
same side · consensus Filip Misolic
Filip Misolic $3.7K——Filip Misolic $8.4K
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $5.9K——No $3.4K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.5K——Under $2.4K
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.6K——No $3.9K
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.8K——No $1.1K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.1K——Over $1.9K
Celtic FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $453——No $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9——Over $1.5K
Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $835——No $474
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Will FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $589——No $109
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
same side · consensus GNK Dinamo Zagreb
GNK Dinamo Zagreb $514——GNK Dinamo Zagreb $146
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AZ
AZ $346——AZ $4
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $138——Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42