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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpISMS2222RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)38% (22–36, n=58)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)50% (19440–19510, n=38950)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$142K$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #799PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus67% (272 of 403 open)100% (1 of 1 open)60% (231 of 382 open)69% (140 of 202 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −15 pts, n=16——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%44% of 55 at avg 41¢, ROI +7%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)38% (won 33% of 21)10% (won 57% of 2538)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)24% (won 15% of 13)22% (won 94% of 5565)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)29% (won 63% of 16)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)9% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 100% of 8250)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

121 on the same side, 116 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpISMS2222RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4KUnder $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7No $2.6K
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $83—No $1.4KNo $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274—Under $1.7KUnder $82
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3KYes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $162No $288
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $28Under $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1KUnder $931
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $25K—Over $3.6K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $370—No $13K—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $60—Central Michigan $12K—
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.1K—No $9.1K—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—No $8.0K—
Club Olimpia vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7.9K—Over $247—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $4.8KYes $1.3K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $79—No $6.0K—
Will Göztepe SK vs. Gaziantep FK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $309No $5.5K
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.5KUnder $753
West Ham United FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $4.2KUnder $721
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $83—No $4.6K—
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $977Yes $3.3K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.1K—Over $92—
Frosinone Calcio vs. Venezia FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.4KUnder $2.3K
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $676No $2.9K
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.2KUnder $2.1K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 3 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $8—No $3.0K—
Clube do Remo vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.8KUnder $160
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt
Hiroki Sakagawa $1.2K—Max Wiskandt $1.7K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301—No $2.4K—
Gil Vicente FC vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $390Under $2.2K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $103—
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K—No $63—
FC København vs. AC Horsens: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.1KUnder $154
Botafogo FR vs. CA Mineiro: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.2K—Yes $10—
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.4KNo $675
M25 Guadalajara: Mauricio Echazu vs Maxwell McKennon
opposite sides · consensus Maxwell McKennon
Maxwell McKennon $849—Mauricio Echazu $1.1K—
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 2 Manchester United FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.0KYes $872
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Spread: Hawks (-19.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Wizards $1.9K—Hawks $5—
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $3Under $1.9K
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $535Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 0 Leeds United FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2No $1.8K
Will Avaí FC win on 2026-09-09?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1No $1.8K