Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHerbertAppreciatorprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6563–6075, n=12638)25% (31–95, n=126)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$151K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #344PM monthly #48PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (138 of 196 open)75% (3 of 4 open)50% (5 of 10 open)55% (49 of 89 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%84% of 37 at avg 37¢, ROI +15%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)41% (won 67% of 15)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)32% (won 92% of 12)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)16% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)11% (won 100% of 4)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

23 on the same side, 25 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHerbertAppreciatorprimmRN1
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $348K——Under $649
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K——Over $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $2.2KSouthern Miss $371
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.5KOver $885
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.3K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $224
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $1.1KUTSA $330
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Jets $409——Canucks $867
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $698Under $446
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $599Over $483
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K——Over $27
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $281——Ipek Oz $678
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
Ducks $153——Oilers $638
Flyers vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $25——Under $645
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $79——Warriors $520
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
Heat $428——Warriors $110
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 0 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $131——Yes $33
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 1 - 1 EC Bahia?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $114——Yes $40
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus UTSA
Florida Atlantic $78—Florida Atlantic $24K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $9.6K——Over $1.2K
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.3K——Over $2.4K
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $2.7K——No $1.7K
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 1 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $222
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $246——No $2.2K
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K——Under $643
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $161
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Spread: Bruins (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bruins
Penguins $374——Penguins $52
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $8——Under $326
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Exact Score: Cruzeiro EC 0 - 0 EC Bahia?
same side · consensus No
No $219——No $92
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Warriors $174——Warriors $97
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42
Flyers vs. Rangers
same side · consensus Rangers
Flyers $86——Flyers $112
Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $158——Under $15
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
Canucks $18——Canucks $95
Blackhawks vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $28——Over $4
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)
same side · consensus EC Bahia
Cruzeiro EC $2——Cruzeiro EC $26