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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ethanael02FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)63% (104–60, n=164)52% (6492–5998, n=12490)47% (14055–15545, n=29600)
Consensus PnL-$15K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #985PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)71% (173 of 242 open)56% (18 of 32 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won94% of 78 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢32% (won 92% of 25)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 96% of 46)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEthanael02FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $2.7K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
—Ben Shelton $1.8KArthur Rinderknech $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754Yes $375
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831Yes $61
Taranto: Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $231Felix Gill $191
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Remy Bertola
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Remy Bertola $127Kilian Feldbausch $257
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
—Alexandra Eala $5.2KAlexandra Eala $33K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $3.4KColeman Wong $10K
Chennai Open: Simona Waltert vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Lucrezia Stefanini
—Lucrezia Stefanini $9Lucrezia Stefanini $3.6K
Taipei: Carl Overbeck vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Kasidit Samrej
—Kasidit Samrej $3.3KKasidit Samrej $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102Under $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
M25 Heraklion: Melios Efstathiou vs Pablo Perez Ramos
same side · consensus Melios Efstathiou
—Melios Efstathiou $206Melios Efstathiou $289
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42