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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Ethanael02FlaznorpprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)64% (105–59, n=164)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL-$5.9K$3.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #683PM monthly #10PM monthly #48PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (95 of 131 open)53% (9 of 17 open)56% (42 of 75 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +22 pts n=33, ROI +24%
  • Soccer +20 pts n=29, ROI +12%
  • NBA +26 pts n=12, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won94% of 85 at avg 74¢, ROI +19%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢8% (won 86% of 7)16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 93% of 28)16% (won 62% of 260)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 96% of 50)39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEthanael02FlaznorpprimmRN1
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $76Southern Miss $32Southern Miss $365
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $9.7KJaguars $1.7K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 30.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $5.8KOver $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Spread: UTSA (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
——Florida Atlantic $2.4KUTSA $302
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
—Magic $770—Suns $1.6K
Spread: Magic (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $990—Suns $1.1K
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
——James Madison $1.6KSouthern Miss $477
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $253
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $1.1K—Warriors $510
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $325Over $935
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $698
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $544—Under $245
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $560Jaguars $174
Spread: Magic (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Suns
—Magic $145—Suns $27
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
same side · consensus Florida Atlantic
—Florida Atlantic $142Florida Atlantic $41K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Jaguars vs. Ravens
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $305—Jaguars $9.0K
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. South Alabama Jaguars
same side · consensus South Alabama Jaguars
—South Alabama Jaguars $4.9K—South Alabama Jaguars $117
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $3.5K—Yuta Shimizu $342
Spread: Jaguars (-16.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $230Ravens $1.8K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-13.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $1.1KRavens $654
Spread: Suns (-7.5)
same side · consensus Suns
—Magic $672—Magic $376
South Florida Bulls vs. DePaul Blue Demons
same side · consensus DePaul Blue Demons
—DePaul Blue Demons $620—DePaul Blue Demons $391
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $569—Magic $40
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $255—Under $338
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $321—Heat $110
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $96—Warriors $87
Spread: Oilers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Ducks
—Oilers $21—Oilers $13