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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
End123FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)65% (277–146, n=423)52% (6399–5911, n=12310)47% (13828–15322, n=29150)
Consensus PnL-$17K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #791PM monthly #22PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)77% (119 of 154 open)59% (33 of 56 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNFL −18 pts, n=18Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won64% of 422 at avg 63¢, ROI −1%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 11% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 42% of 43)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 63% of 132)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up45% (won 86% of 190)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketEnd123FlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K
Heat vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $133
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466No $529
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K
Taipei: Charles Broom vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Alexandre Muller
—Alexandre Muller $1.3KAlexandre Muller $4.8K
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Clippers $1.6KClippers $965
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $811Quentin Halys $1.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
—Clippers $103Clippers $240
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42