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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DonghuiFlaznorpnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2047–832, n=2879)55% (389–318, n=707)61% (48–31, n=79)
Consensus PnL—$386K$445K$659K
Tracked asPM monthly #444PM monthly #13PM monthly #104PM monthly #15 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)58% (80 of 138 open)45% (30 of 66 open)60% (6 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
  • NBA +45 pts n=29, ROI +40%
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won—44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%100% of 39 at avg 57¢, ROI +38%
Entries under 30¢—40% (won 6% of 362)14% (won 33% of 73)3% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 43% of 192)24% (won 56% of 125)33% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 103)43% (won 69% of 226)44% (won 100% of 17)
Entries 70¢ and up—27% (won 95% of 239)18% (won 98% of 96)21% (won 100% of 8)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDonghuiFlaznorpnigiri99robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus MOUZ
MOUZ $11KSpirit $5Spirit $402MOUZ $102K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
——Bilibili Gaming $1.1KGen.G $95K
Will Portugal win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $4.9KYes $375—
Will Sweden win on 2026-11-14?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $436Yes $1.3K—
Portugal vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $886Yes $365—
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $108Under $76—
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $79Over $11—
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
same side · consensus Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
——Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $333KLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns $209K
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
same side · consensus Team Falcons
——Team Falcons $975Team Falcons $135K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
——Gen.G $241Gen.G $44K
Pistons vs. Heat
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $388Heat $46—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $3—