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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ChonkVisionferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (239–177, n=416)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$619K$3.1M$4.1M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #88was PM monthly #87PM monthly #10PM monthly #98
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)72% (21 of 29 open)66% (131 of 198 open)73% (113 of 154 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +6 pts n=229, ROI +9%
  • NBA +20 pts n=11, ROI +20%
  • NFL +5 pts n=13, ROI +11%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=110—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won58% of 401 at avg 55¢, ROI +9%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 3)—29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢29% (won 51% of 115)—16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢64% (won 59% of 258)—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up6% (won 88% of 25)—40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketChonkVisionferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Giants
Giants $12KGiants $26KGiants $735—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Rams $33KCommanders $218—
Jets vs. Chiefs
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $33KJets $67—
Lions vs. Dolphins
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $31KDolphins $168—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $26KOver $5.5K—
Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $16KNo $7.4K
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
—Liverpool FC $529Crystal Palace FC $15K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $7.9KAlexandra Eala $6.8K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $7.8KBen Shelton $2.2K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $151Yes $2.7K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $41KNo $18K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
—Borna Gojo $16KBorna Gojo $4.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.2KUnder $13K—
Elche CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $627Over $2.5K—
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO5) - IEM Beijing Playoffs
same side · consensus MOUZ
—TheMongolz $647TheMongolz $2—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $28No $115
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group B
same side · consensus Prestige
—Prestige $68Prestige $9—