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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15994–16023, n=32017)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$5.3M$2.9M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #177PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)no open consensus position54% (85 of 157 open)58% (53 of 91 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11407 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 61% of 889)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2410)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4354)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3754)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankjoseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $17No $9.2K
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $257Yes $5.1K
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
——Anastasia Zakharova $6Magda Linette $3.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.7K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K—Yes $169—
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $142No $2.3K
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $24Yes $288
Torino FC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $204Under $79
Will Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $141No $60
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $3No $5
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $280K—Yes $4—
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $12KNo $26K
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
——Ben Shelton $1.1KBen Shelton $25K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $25K—Yes $131—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15K—Yes $215—
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $150No $8.7K
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $2.6KNo $1.1K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.5K—Yes $68—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $24Over $2.2K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0K—Yes $59—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $162Under $905
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
same side · consensus 1. FSV Mainz 05
——1. FSV Mainz 05 $8381. FSV Mainz 05 $48
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $22No $513
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $126Yes $63
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $21No $140
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $28—Yes $41—
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $18Yes $3