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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1smoltrader
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)42% (974–1352, n=2326)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$14.9M$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #31 + pinnedwas PM monthly #368
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)55% (16 of 29 open)68% (32 of 47 open)100% (11 of 11 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———Science −21 pts, n=18
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%44% of 1625 at avg 45¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)49% (won 5% of 796)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 102)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)7% (won 66% of 116)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)38% (won 93% of 611)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1smoltrader
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.6KOver $3.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $295Buccaneers $2.4K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $58K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $28KBuccaneers $16K—
Penguins vs. Ducks
same side · consensus Ducks
—Ducks $34KDucks $3.5K—
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $19KHeat $1.5K—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96Bears $5.4K——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.3KUnder $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—