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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | claudionetotrader | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 58% (1072–790, n=1862) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $90K | $3.3M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #730 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #26 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 67% (311 of 466 open) | 62% (188 of 305 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 63% of 1491 at avg 58¢, ROI +3% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 12% of 428) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 10% (won 37% of 155) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 14% (won 75% of 214) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 47% (won 97% of 694) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
101 on the same side, 61 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | claudionetotrader | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | — | Yes $115K | Yes $31K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1 | Over $2.9K | Over $1.7K |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $31 | Over $87 | Under $2 |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | — | No $40K | No $6.5K |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $3.2K | — | No $23K | No $2.8K |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $10 | No $15K | No $5.3K |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | — | No $148 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff opposite sides · consensus Jan-Lennard Struff | — | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $10K | Thiago Agustin Tirante $23K |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $22K | Under $423 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.0K | No $13K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.3K | No $8.8K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | — | Arthur Fils $5.5K | Tomas Machac $2.3K |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $7.6K | No $77 |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $4.1K | Over $3.1K |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $596 | No $5.3K |
| Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901 | — | — | Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K | Olympiakós SFP $3 |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $4.8K | Under $45 |
| Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $3.8K | Over $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.4K | Under $1.1K |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $44 | No $3.1K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $317 | No $2.6K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $1.3K |
| Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $2.1K | No $234 |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | No $2.3K | Yes $35 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $96 | Over $2.2K |
| Como 1907 leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $1.3K | No $734 |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.1K | Over $796 |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.8K | Under $29 |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 0 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $17 | No $1.7K |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $1.7K | Under $6 |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $36 | No $1.5K |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $39 | No $1.5K |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $19 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $486 | No $529 |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $713 | Over $268 |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $896 | Under $52 |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $213 | No $677 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $607 | Yes $106 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | — | Wizards $220 | Hawks $426 |
| PSV leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $554 | Yes $88 |
| Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $329 | No $273 |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | — | Cavaliers $304 | Thunder $273 |
| Exact Score: PSV 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $482 | No $41 |
| Will Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $156 | Yes $322 |