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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppeasantRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6615–6145, n=12760)57% (162–122, n=284)48% (14232–15729, n=29961)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$128K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #536PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)78% (113 of 145 open)57% (4 of 7 open)55% (18 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Politics −5 pts, n=51—
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%58% of 273 at avg 57¢, ROI +6%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)21% (won 11% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)16% (won 38% of 45)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 62% of 63)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)40% (won 89% of 108)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppeasantRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
—Maxim Mrva $55—Matteo Martineau $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $281—Ipek Oz $679
W50 Heraklion: Angela Fita Boluda vs Alisa Oktiabreva
opposite sides · consensus Alisa Oktiabreva
—Alisa Oktiabreva $767—Angela Fita Boluda $15
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Kasidit Samrej
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
—Coleman Wong $3.6K—Coleman Wong $7.3K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
W50 Heraklion: Lucie Nguyen Tan vs Martha MATOULA
same side · consensus Martha MATOULA
—Martha MATOULA $597—Martha MATOULA $1.2K
Will Psim Yogyakarta win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $738—No $881
W50 Heraklion: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Nuria Brancaccio
same side · consensus Nuria Brancaccio
—Nuria Brancaccio $38—Nuria Brancaccio $1.3K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Psim Yogyakarta vs. Dewa United: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $448—Under $48
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42
M25 Valencia: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
same side · consensus Svyatoslav Gulin
—Svyatoslav Gulin $88—Svyatoslav Gulin $9