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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRene22RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)56% (5–4, n=9)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$4.9K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11was PM monthly #672PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)65% (110 of 168 open)33% (2 of 6 open)52% (24 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 5 at avg 48¢, ROI +52%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)40% (won 100% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)40% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)20% (won 100% of 1)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRene22RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.7K
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $7.3K—Trail Blazers $118
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $6
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.1K—Over $656
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.4K—Trail Blazers $352
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851—Yes $326
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.0K—Under $110
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $1.0K—Trail Blazers $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491—No $524
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Trail Blazers $219—Spurs $721
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837—Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272—No $11
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $9—Spurs $236
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $235—Trail Blazers $7
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Fresno State vs. Utah State
same side · consensus Utah State
—Utah State $4—Utah State $14K
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.5K—Under $76
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95—Under $1.1K
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $762—Spurs $361
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $655—Over $161
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721—Under $20
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Trail Blazers $708—Trail Blazers $4
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173—Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203—Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51—Over $29