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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | soapbubbles | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 53% (5928–5310, n=11238) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 82% (14–3, n=17) |
| Consensus PnL | $9.4M | $3.3M | $14.8M | $14K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #26 + pinned | PM monthly #785 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 65% (269 of 411 open) | 62% (178 of 289 open) | 60% (9 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 82% of 17 at avg 77¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 18% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 71% (won 92% of 12) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
90 on the same side, 57 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | soapbubbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $64K | Yes $115K | Yes $31K | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $651K | No $40K | No $6.5K | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $3.2K | No $25K | No $5.0K | — |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $56K | — | No $148 | — |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $22K | Under $423 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | Over $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.0K | No $13K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.3K | No $8.8K | — |
| Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.2K | No $8.6K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $291 | No $8.8K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $8.2K | No $66 | — |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils | — | Arthur Fils $5.5K | Tomas Machac $2.3K | — |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $60 | No $7.7K | — |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.1K | Over $3.1K | — |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.0K | Over $5 | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $596 | No $5.3K | — |
| Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $45 | No $4.5K | — |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.3K | Under $1.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.4K | Over $2.4K | — |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $3.1K | Over $439 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $317 | No $2.6K | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno | — | Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K | Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K | — |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | Over $1.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | Over $35 | — |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.5K | Under $22 | — |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $2.3K | Yes $35 | — |
| Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.5K | Over $638 | — |
| Como 1907 leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $1.3K | No $734 | — |
| Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.8K | Under $29 | — |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.7K | Under $6 | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $36 | No $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $39 | No $1.5K | — |
| Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $19 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | Yes $7 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $486 | No $529 | — |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $713 | Over $268 | — |
| KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $896 | Under $52 | — |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $213 | No $677 | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $607 | Yes $106 | — |
| Exact Score: PSV 0 - 1 Club Brugge KV? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $652 | No $41 | — |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Hawks | — | Wizards $220 | Hawks $426 | — |
| Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $254 | Under $389 | — |
| PSV leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $554 | Yes $88 | — |
| Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $329 | No $273 | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers | — | Cavaliers $304 | Thunder $273 | — |
| Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $412 | Under $22 | — |
| Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $371 | No $25 | — |
| Costa do Sauipe: Lautaro Midon vs Tomas Barrios opposite sides · consensus Tomas Barrios | — | Tomas Barrios $127 | Lautaro Midon $260 | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $215 | Grizzlies $118 | — |
| Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $105 | Under $169 | — |